Service Plays Thursday 4/29/10

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

<!-- / icon and title --> <!-- message --> New Addition to Service Play Forum..Specifically for posting additional topics.

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Thank you, wilheim




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[ugk]

NBA NEWS AND NOTES
GAME OF THE DAY
Trail Blazers At Suns Betting Preview
By Matt Fargo


By The Numbers

Portland opened as a one-point favorite over Phoenix for Game 6 with the total set at 201.5. With the last three games in this series staying under the total, it is no surprise this is the lowest posted number so far in the series.

The Skinny

A week ago, Portland was feeling pretty good about itself. It had stolen a game in Phoenix and headed home with the series split at one game apiece and took over the home-court advantage. Now just seven days later, the Blazers are on the brink of elimination making this a must-win situation.
The teams have each taken four games in the season series with Phoenix taking three-of-five at home and Portland taking two-of-three at home.
The road team has won three of the eight meetings so home court has not exactly been a major advantage and the 16 home losses this season for Portland are the most of any playoff team from the Western Conference.
The Suns finished the regular season with 35 conference wins, tied for the most with the Lakers out West.

Statistical Breakdown

Phoenix is averaging 109.9 ppg on the season and if it comes close to that, there is a good chance for a win.
When the Suns score fewer than 100 points, they are 2-11 on the season (2-10-1 ATS). They get better when totaling between 100 and 105 points, going 8-11 SU and 8-11 ATS. But when scoring 106 or more points, Phoenix is 47-8 (41-14 ATS) so putting up a ton of points is the way to win.
Portland has gone over the century mark 38 times this season and has won 29 of those games (28-10 ATS) including three outings against the Suns. Conversely, the Blazers are 23-26 in the 39 games they failed to tally at least 100 points (18-19-2 ATS).
When it comes to defense, it is important for both teams. The Blazers have allowed 100 or more points 28 times and are just 7-21 in those games (8-20 ATS). It is rare for Phoenix to allow teams to miss the century mark but in the 24 games it has done so, it is 22-2 (20-3-1 ATS).

Tempo Wins

This is a point that was brought up in the breakdown for last week and it still holds true as the pace of the game has determined who has won so far.
In Game 1, Portland controlled the tempo and even though there were more shots attempted by both teams, it went to the Blazers advantage. In that first game, the Suns had just four fast-break points but they had seven by the middle of the first quarter in Game 2 on their way to 17 fast-break points overall.
In the pivotal Game 3, Phoenix had only 11 fast-break points but the team made up for it with incredible long range shooting, hitting 13-of-28 from behind the arc (46.4 percent).
In Game 4, the Suns were held to just four fast break points and could not hit anything from the outside, shooting just 26.1 percent from 3-point land. Thus, they scored a season low 87 points.
On Monday, the tempo went the Suns way yet again as they held a 17-6 fast-break point advantage and it was their bench that was the difference as it exposed the thin Blazers roster.

History Lesson

With home court back on their side, the Suns have a big edge in being able to close the series.
Game 1 losers have gone on to win best-of-seven series only 21 percent of the time. It gets a lot better for the home-court-advantage teams when they win Game 2 for a split however, which Phoenix did, as those teams have gone on to win the series 63 percent of the time.
Now with a 3-2 series lead, the Blazers backs are against the wall. The team that wins Game 5 in a series that is tied ends up taking the series 83 percent of the time.

Trends

- The home team is 8-3-1 ATS the last 12 meetings between these teams while the favorite is 17-7-2 ATS the last 26 meetings.
- Phoenix is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 road games against teams with a winning record at home.
- Portland is 8-20 ATS in home games after a double-digit loss over the last three seasons.
- The under is 7-1-1 in the Suns last nine games following a double-digit win while the under is 8-0 in the Blazers last eight games following a double-digit loss.

 

[ugk]

PICK 'N' ROLL

Thursday's Best NBA Bet

Dallas Mavericks at San Antonio Spurs (-3.5, 191

Only NBA eight teams out of 189 have been fortunate enough to rally back from a 3-1 deficit and win a playoff series.
If experience in that department means anything, then the Mavericks might be poised to pull of the impossible. Dallas has two team members that were on two of those eight teams. Shawn Marion did it in 2006 with the Suns and Rick Carlisle did it in 2003 when he was head coach of the Pistons.
"We're not dead yet," Mavs guard Jason Terry said. "That's the motto."
Marion put it a bit more eloquently when he said he hadn’t heard any fat lady singing. The Matrix also pointed out that the Mavs’ key to success was taking the Spurs out of the half-court game and forcing them into a quicker pace.
"It's easy," Marion said. "They can't guard it."
And the age of the Spurs may be catching up with them. Since turning 34 on Sunday, Tim Duncan has been held to a total of 15 points in two games after scoring at least 25 in the previous three.
Look for the Mavs to send the series back to Big D for Game 7.

Pick: Dallas Mavericks

 

[ugk]

MLB NEWS AND NOTES
Thursday Afternoon Tips
By Kevin Rogers

Getaway day in baseball involves four matinee battles with several teams ready to leave town. Three series wrap up while the Cubs and Diamondbacks open up a new set at Wrigley Field. The struggling Braves look to end their road woes in St. Louis against the Cardinals. We'll start in the Motor City as the Twins and Tigers conclude their AL Central showdown at Comerica Park.

Twins At Tigers - 1:05 PM EST

Two of the aces from the 2003 World Championship Marlins squad oppose each other on the hill as Detroit and Minnesota hook up. Tiger slayer Carl Pavano looks to beat Detroit for the sixth time in seven tries, while Dontrelle Willis tries to break through the win column for the first time this season.

Pavano was acquired by the Twins last season to help silence the Tigers' offense en route to the AL Central title. The veteran righty tossed five quality starts against Detroit in 2009, leading to a 5-1 edge in the series, including three wins as a member of the Indians. Pavano has delivered three quality outings this season, as well as a 3-1 mark and ERA of 4.24, while walking just one.

Willis is trying to reclaim the magic of his 2005 campaign in which the lanky lefty won 22 games and finished second in the NL Cy Young Award voting. Since 2006, D-Train has won just 23 games, including one as a member of the Tigers. Willis has put together a pair of quality starts on the road this month, but the southpaw has walked more batters (10) than struck out (9). In his only meeting against the Twins, Willis allowed four earned runs and eight hits in 4.2 innings of a 14-10 loss last May.

Minnesota has been dynamite away from Target Field this season, winning eight of the last ten on the highway, including Tuesday's 2-0 shutout. Detroit has gone 'over' the total in four of the last five at home, while going 4-1-1 to the 'over' in the last six overall.

Braves At Cardinals - 1:40 EST

Atlanta can't get out of its own way following an impressive start, as the Braves try to end their road trip on a winning note in St. Louis. The Cardinals send out one of their two aces to the hill to finish off the series as Adam Wainwright looks to bounce back from his first loss of the season.

Wainwright owns a sterling 1.69 ERA to go along with four quality starts and 3-1 mark. The Cardinals' righty was receiving tremendous run support through his first three wins (5.3 runs/game), but the Redbirds were blanked, 2-0 by Barry Zito and the Giants in Wainwright's last time out. The Cards are 14-4 the last 18 starts made by Wainwright when St. Louis lost his previous outing.

Jair Jurrjens hasn't won a game through four starts this season, even though Atlanta is 2-2 in his outings. Jurrjens is coming off consecutive quality outings against the Rockies and Mets, but failed to register a win each time. The Braves' righty has struggled during day starts, compiling an 0-2 mark with an ERA of 7.00. The 'under' has been a profitable play for Jurrjens as a road underdog, hitting the 'under' in eight of the last ten in this spot.

Both these pitchers have turned in fantastic performances against their opponent, as the Cards are 4-0 in Wainwright's four career starts versus the Braves. Atlanta is just 1-2 in Jurrjens' three starts against St. Louis, but the righty turned in a six-hit effort in eight scoreless innings of a 1-0 win at Busch Stadium last September.

White Sox At Rangers - 2:05 PM EST

A pair of below .500 teams finish up a three-game set in Arlington as the White Sox look to improve on a 2-6 road mark. Chicago sends out struggling righty Gavin Floyd to the mound to oppose another stumbling starter in Texas right-hander Scott Feldman.

Floyd has allowed 16 earned runs in his last three starts (13.1 IP), including 11 earned runs in two road outings. The worst part is Floyd has been lit up by two of the worst offenses in the American League (Cleveland and Seattle), as Texas ranks a notch above those teams. Floyd has made only two career starts against the Rangers, with both coming in Arlington. The righty was racked his last time in Texas, giving up six earned runs in 2.2 innings of a 7-2 loss in July 2008.

Feldman was the ace of the Rangers' staff last season, but has failed to find that form recently. The right-hander delivered a pair of gems at home against the Mariners and Blue Jays, but was chased early in each of the last two starts versus the Yankees and Tigers. Feldman allowed 12 runs (eight earned) in just six innings of the last two outings, both Rangers losses.

Following four consecutive 'overs,' the White Sox have finished 'under' in each of the last two games, while the Rangers are 8-2 the last ten home meetings in this series.

Diamondbacks At Cubs - 2:20 PM EST

Chicago looks to bounce back after dropping two of three to Washington, as the Cubs open up a four-game set at Wrigley Field against the D-Backs. Arizona is coming off a wild 12-11 victory in ten innings at Colorado on Wednesday, taking two of three from the Rockies. The Cubs send out Ted Lilly for his home debut of the season, trying to capitalize off a victory at Milwaukee on Saturday.

Lilly scattered three hits in six scoreless innings against the Brewers after missing the first three weeks of the season recovering from arthroscopic surgery on his left shoulder. The Cubs were 11-2 in Lilly's 13 starts as a home favorite last season, while going 'under' the total in 16 of the last 18 at Wrigley as home 'chalk.' Lilly has faced the D-Backs just once at home as a member of the Cubs, shutting down Arizona in a three-hit, seven-inning effort as Chicago cruised to a 10-3 victory back in May 2008.

Ian Kennedy has failed to win a game in four starts with the D-Backs, as Arizona has lost each of his last three outings. The ex-Yankee is coming off his most productive start in Arizona, holding the powerful Phillies offense to four hits and two earned runs in eight innings of work, but Philadelphia pulled out a 3-2 win. After giving up nine earned runs in his first 9.1 innings to start the season, Kennedy has yielded just two earned runs over the last 13 innings.

The 'over' has cashed in six of the last eight for the D-Backs, while the 'under' has gone 8-2-2 in the previous 12 games for the Cubs.

 

[ugk]

HOT LINES

Thursday's Best MLB Bets

New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles (+165, 8.5)

Last season, A.J. Burnett and Jorge Posada were rarely paired together. Burnett was caught by Jose Molina in the majority of his starts after he and Posada got off to a rough start.
For whatever reason, sometimes pitchers and catchers don’t see eye-to-eye and the guy on the mound eventually has the final say of who will get behind the dish. But now with Molina gone, Posada and Burnett must learn to coexist.
"It's just trust," pitching coach Dave Eiland said of the Posada-Burnett relationship. "Getting on the same page and learning one another."
There haven’t been any hiccups so far this season as Burnett is 2-0 with a 3.20 ERA with Posada calling the game in all four of his starts.
Brian Matusz has been the lone bright spot for Baltimore. The young southpaw is 6-0 in his last nine starts and hasn’t surrendered more than four runs in four trips to the hill this season.
On a getaway day, look for the runs to come at a premium in this affair.

Pick: Under


Oakland Athletics at Toronto Blue Jays (-135, 7.5)

Oakland could still be wiping the sleep away from its eyes when the team takes the field Thursday.
The Athletics played a night game in Tampa Wednesday and then caught a redeye for a 1,300-mile trip up to Canada. There they will meet the Blue Jays who have been nestled at home during a three-game series with Boston.
The Jays best pitcher so far this season, Ricky Romero, will take the mound against the resurgent Justin Duchscherer in this evening matchup. Both pitchers boast an ERA under 2.00.
Last year, the Blue Birds took six-of-nine games from Oakland. Expect Toronto to jump out to an early lead against the road-weary A’s and get out of its losing funk.

Pick: Toronto Blue Jays

 

[ugk]

NHL NEWS AND NOTES AND PICKS
NHL WESTERN CONFERENCE
Round 2 Preview And Picks
By Ari Baum-Cohen

So much for the feel-good stories.
All of the favorites won and all of the surprise teams are booking tee times after the opening round of the Western Conference playoffs. Hockey bettors are left with two interesting matchups: a battle between the decade’s two most dominant teams and a rematch of last year’s conference semifinals.

Detroit Red Wings vs. San Jose Sharks (+135, -150)
Season Series, 3-1 Detroit

The Sharks and Red Wings have only met once in the last 13 postseasons but that is largely due to San Jose’s playoff futility. Detroit and San Jose have combined for 12 division titles since the 1999-2000 season.
Both teams overcame first-round adversity. Detroit handled a resilient Phoenix Coyotes squad with a dominant Game 7 performance, while San Jose overcame own goals, bad bounces, and a terrific goaltending performance from Craig Anderson to take its opening-round series against the Colorado Avalanche.
The Red Wings have been getting great production from their top six forwards. Pavel Datsyuk and Henrik Zetterberg have combined for 11 goals in seven games.
Forty- year-old Nicklas Lidstrom will be relied on to shut down San Jose’s top line of Joe Thornton, Patrick Marleau and Dany Heatley.
Joe Thornton has done his usual disappearing act in the postseason thus far, but luckily for the Sharks a different Joe is stepping up. Joe Pavelski leads the team with five goals and the Pavelski-Ryane Clowe-Devin Setoguchi line has been the Sharks’ best trio.
Rookie goaltender Jimmy Howard has not been spectacular, but made big saves at key times for the Red Wings. He finished the first round with a respectable 2.59 goals against average and a .919 save percentage.
Evgeni Nabokov had a shaky start to San Jose’s last series but finished strong, allowing four goals in San Jose’s last four games.

Series Prediction: San Jose Sharks In Seven Games


Vancouver Canucks at Chicago Blackhawks (+130, -145)
Season Series, 2-2

Last year, 42 goals were scored in the six game series between these two clubs. This year’s version could have even more fireworks.
The Sedins dominated the Canucks’ opening round series, combining for 18 points in six games. But Mikael Samuelsson was the real story for Vancouver, scoring seven goals despite getting limited time on Vancouver’s top line.
Chicago was led offensively by the usual suspects, Jonathan Toews, Patrick Kane and Marian Hossa, who all averaged more than a point per game.
The Canucks rely heavily on their top four defensemen. Alex Edler had an excellent series and leads all Vancouver blueliners at plus-7. Christian Ehrhoff, Sami Salo and Kevin Bieksa also log big minutes for Vancouver and are key components of a fragile defensive corps.
For the Hawks, Duncan Keith has to be better. The Norris Trophy nominee registered just two points and was a team worst minus-4.
Roberto Luongo is having his worst year statistically as a Canuck. Despite making several highlight-reel saves in Vancouver’s opening round series, Luongo seemed to lose focus at times and posted a 2.92 goals against average and .893 save percentage.
Rookie goaltender Antti Niemi finished the Nashville series with a 2.15 goals against average and .921 save percentage. But he allowed the offensively-challenged Predators to score at least three goals four times in the series.

Series Prediction: Chicago Blackhawks In Six Games

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Capitals and Hawks (-9) Wednesday night.

Thursday it's the Twins. The deficit is 630 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI NBA

Season
Straight Up: 845-362 (.700)
ATS: 646-598 (.519)
ATS Vary Units: 1533-1443 (.515)
Over/Under: 616-636 (.492)
Over/Under Vary Units: 806-834 (.491)

Western Conference Playoffs, 1st Round
Game 6, best-of-7 series
SAN ANTONIO 101, Dallas 96
PORTLAND 104, Phoenix 103

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI NHL

Season: 434-294 (.596)

Western Conference Playoffs, Semifinals
Game 1, best-of-7 series
SAN JOSE 3, Detroit 2

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPORTS ADVISORS

THURSDAY, APRIL 29

NBA PLAYOFFS

WESTERN CONFERENCE

Dallas (2-3, 2-2-1 ATS) at San Antonio (3-2, 2-2-1 ATS)

The second-seeded Mavericks look to fend off elimination for a second time in 48 hours when they travel to the AT&T Center for Game 6 of their best-of-7 first-round series against the Spurs. Needing a Game 5 win to avoid elimination, Dallas routed the Spurs 103-81 Tuesday night as a five-point home favorite, ending a three-game skid (0-2-1 ATS) following its series-opening victory. Caron Butler torched San Antonio for 35 points and 11 rebounds, and Dirk Nowitzki (15 points, nine rebounds) just missed a double-double. Tony Parker led San Antonio, but he had just 18 points, and only two teammates cracked double figures – George Hill with 12 points and Tim Duncan with 11. The Spurs shot a meager 35.9 percent (28 of 78), including a 3-for-16 effort from 3-point range (18.8 percent). They were outrebounded 52-41 and had 18 turnovers to Dallas’ 12. San Antonio scored wins in Games 3 and 4 at the AT&T Center to improve to 31-12 SU (25-16-2 ATS) at home this season, outscoring visitors by more than eight ppg (104.9-96.8) and outshooting them 49.1 percent to 45.9 percent. Dallas stands 27-16 SU and 26-17 ATS on the highway, with the Mavs averaging 101.6 ppg on 46.7 percent shooting and yielding 98.7 ppg (45.3 percent). These two teams also met in the first round last year, with Dallas winning in five games (4-1 ATS). The SU winner is on a 17-1-1 ATS tear in the last 19 clashes between these Southwest Division rivals (4-0-1 ATS in this series). In addition, the Mavs are 8-3-1 ATS in the last dozen meetings, the host is 9-3-1 ATS in the last 13 contests (4-1-1 last six) and the chalk is 4-1-1 ATS in the last six. Finally, Dallas is still 12-5-1 ATS on its last 18 visits to the AT&T Center. The Mavericks are 7-2-1 ATS in their last nine overall, and they are on further pointspread upticks of 5-1-1 on the highway, 7-2-1 after a day off (4-1-1 last six) and 5-1 after either a SU or an ATS win. However, they are also 0-4-1 ATS in their last five as a playoff ‘dog and 16-34-1 ATS in their last 51 Thursday starts.
Despite the Game 5 blowout loss, the Spurs still sport positive ATS streaks of 20-9-1 overall, 5-1-1 at home (all as a favorite), 8-3-1 after a day off, 14-6-1 in the West, 8-2-1 as a home favorite and 7-2 after either a SU or an ATS defeat. On the downside, San Antonio is 2-5-1 ATS in its last eight first-round playoff games – all against Dallas. Dallas is on a plethora of “under” sprees, including 12-4-1 overall (5-0-1 last six, all against the Spurs), 6-0-1 inside the Southwest Division, 5-0 as an underdog, 5-1 following a day off and 9-1-1 against teams with a winning percentage above .600. That said, the Mavs are on a 12-5 “over” stretch as a playoff pup. San Antonio is on “under” surges of 6-1-1 overall, 7-1-1 against winning teams, 5-0 on Thursday and 15-7 with the Spurs a playoff chalk of less than five points, though the over has hit in five of San Anton’s last seven at home. Finally, the under is 7-1-1 in this year’s nine clashes in this rivalry, with the last four games of this playoff series staying below the total after a push in Game 1.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER


Phoenix (3-2 SU and ATS) at Portland (2-3 SU and ATS)

The Suns try to wrap up their best-of-7 Western Conference first-round series against the Trail Blazers when they visit the Rose Garden in Portland for Game 6. Phoenix assumed a 3-2 lead with Monday’s 107-88 home win, easily cashing as a 7½-point favorite. The Suns had five players score in double figures, with Channing Frye leading the way with 20 points and eight rebounds, while Amare Stoudemire and reserve Jared Dudley both chipped in with 19 points. Portland led 28-27 at the end of the first quarter, but got outscored 57-38 during the middle two stanzas. Blazers point guard Brandon Roy, who made a surprise return in Game 3 less than two weeks after having knee surgery, has come off the bench in the last two contests. However, Roy is expected to get the start tonight ahead of backup Andre Miller. Also, Portland forward Marcus Camby (dislocated pinky) is likely to play. These teams return to the Rose Garden where they split third and fourth games of this series, with the Suns dominating Game 3 108-89 and the Blazers rallying in Game 4 for a 96-87 victory Saturday as two-point favorites. Phoenix is 23-20 (24-19 ATS) away from home this season and has won eight of its last 11 on the road (6-5 ATS). The Blazers are 27-16 in their building (20-22-1 ATS), including taking eight of their last 11 (6-5 ATS). The Suns are back in the postseason after missing out last year. This is the Suns’ 19th postseason appearances in the last 22 years. Portland ended a six-year playoff drought last year, but went one-and-done, falling 4-2 to the Rockets (3-3 ATS) in the opening round. The season series is tied 4-4 (with the Blazers holding a slim 4-3-1 ATS edge), but the home team is 8-3-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings with the chalk cashing in 17 of the last 26 meetings. In Oregon, the Blazers are 4-1 ATS in the last five clashes. Phoenix is just 7-21 ATS in its last 28 Thursday contests, but it is on several positive ATS streaks, including 28-11-1 overall, 13-6 on the road, 11-4 after two days off, 8-3 as a road ‘dog and 11-4 on the road against teams with winning home records. Portland is just 1-4 ATS in its last five as a favorite, but 22-7 ATS in its last 29 as a chalk of less than five points and 5-1 ATS in its last six after a straight-up loss. The Suns have topped the total in nine of 11 Thursday games, but they’re also on “under” surges of 5-0-1 on the road, 4-0-1 as an underdog, 8-3 against Northwest Division teams, 8-3-1 after a spread-cover and 5-2 against teams with winning records. The Blazers have stayed below the posted total in 13 of 18 at home, six of seven after a straight-up loss, nine of 10 at home against teams with a winning road record and seven of 10 against Pacific Division squads. The under is 5-2 in the last seven series clashes overall, and each of the last three in this series have stayed low, including both games played in Oregon.


ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER


NATIONAL LEAGUE

Milwaukee (9-12) at San Diego (13-8)

The Padres return home from a successful road trip when they open a four-game weekend series against the Brewers at Petco Park, with Wade LeBlanc (1-0, 0.82 ERA) set to take the mound for the hosts opposite veteran Doug Davis (0-2, 8.35) in a battle of left-handers. Milwaukee capped a six-game homestand with Wednesday afternoon’s 6-5, 14-inning loss to the Pirates, as closer Trevor Hoffman blew a ninth-inning lead against Pittsburgh for the second straight day. The Brewers have followed up a four-game winning streak – all on the road in which they outscored the opposition 47-8 – by losing five of their last six. In addition to winning four straight on the highway, the Brewers are on positive runs of 4-0 against winning teams and 7-3 on Thursday, but they’re 3-8 in their last 11 series openers. San Diego rallied from a 4-0 deficit in Florida on Wednesday and prevailed 6-4 to finish off a 4-2 road trip. Since starting the season 3-6, the Padres have ripped off 10 wins in their last 12 games, including six straight victories at Petco. Additionally, San Diego has won five of six against the N.L. Central and four of its last five series openers, but it is also 1-4 in its last five on Thursday. The Padres have taken five of seven from Milwaukee going back to September 2008, and they’re 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in San Diego. Davis started the season with three horrible starts, giving up 15 runs on 24 hits in 12 innings, though the Brewers found a way to win two of those three contests. Then on Saturday, he delivered his best performance of the season against the Cubs at home (two runs, six hits in 6 1/3 innings), but he got no run support and lost 5-1. Despite Davis’ struggles this season, with the lefty on the hill Milwaukee is still on positive runs of 7-2 against the N.L. West, 7-0 on the road against winning teams and 5-1 on Thursday. Also, the Brewers are 4-0 in Davis’ last four starts against the Padres. For his career, the 34-year-old California native is 8-6 with a 4.82 ERA in 22 starts against San Diego (4-1, 3.18 ERA in seven starts at Petco). Furthermore, Davis’ last 11 starts against the Padres – all with the Diamonbacks from 2006-2009 – have been quality outings, as he pitched at least six innings and yielded three earned runs or fewer in each contest. Also, San Diego is 3-11 the last 14 times they’ve faced Davis. LeBlanc has delivered a pair of gems in his first two starts of 2010, giving up one run in five innings in leading the Padres to a 5-3 home win over Arizona, followed by Saturday’s 5-0 win in Cincinnati in which he scattered three hits and two walks in six scoreless innings. Going back to September, LeBlanc has given up two earned runs or fewer in seven of his last eight starts, posting a 1.58 ERA during this stretch, and the Padres are 7-2 in his last nine trips to the mound. LeBlanc, who has pitched in 16 games (15 starts) since San Diego brought him to the big leagues in late 2008, is 1-1 with a 2.43 ERA in six games (five starts) at Petco Park, allowing eight runs in 29 2/3 innings. He has never faced the Brewers. Milwaukee is on a slew of “over” runs, including 21-6-4 overall, 13-3-2 on the road, 20-6-3 in series openers, 5-0-1 versus the N.L. West, 12-2 on Thursday, 4-1-1 behind Davis overall and 2-0-2 when Davis faces the N.L. West. Conversely, other than a 16-5 “over” run on Thursday, San Diego is on “under” streaks of 6-3-2 overall, 18-7-2 at home and 5-2-1 versus the N.L. Central. Finally, the under is 5-1 in the last six Padres-Brewers meetings in San Diego.

ATS ADVANTAGE: SAN DIEGO

 

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Super Pogodak

Trelleborg - Atvidaberg
bet on Treleborg @1.85

 

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Bulgarian Paid service

Liverpool FC - Atletico Madrid:bet on Liverpool@1,6

Fluminense RJ - Gremio RS:bet on Fluminense @2,00

Syrianska - Orgryte ,over 2.5@1,75

 

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Pro tipster

Date Country League Event Our pick
28.04.2010 Europe Europa League
Liverpool - Ath. Madrid
Liverpool
Kick-off at 20:05 GMT

 

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Sampicks 4/29

Europa League - 20:00 GMT
FULHAM - HAMBURGER take FULHAM 0,-0.5
Best odds: 1,88

 

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Bettingresource

Apr 29: NBA: Dallas - San Antonio
Pick: Under 191 Odd: 1.91
Risked: 7 units Return:

Apr 29: NBA: Phoenix - Portland
Pick: Under 202 Odd: 1.91
Risked: 7 units Return:

Apr 29: MLB: Kansas City - Tampa Bay
Pitchers: Garza & Hochevar
Pick: Kansas City +1.5 Odd: 1.95
Risked: 7 units Return:

Apr 29: MLB: Texas - Chicago WS
Pitchers: Floyd & Feldman
Pick: Texas -1.5 Odd: 2.55
Risked: 6 units Return:

 

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The Vegas Killers

The Vegas Killers

John Harrison - Toronto Blue Jays -130 (1 UNIT)

 

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Jr. O'Donnell (RedZone Sports)

free internet play: LA Dodgers run line (-1.5).

 

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Bookie Monster
30-12 (71%) Run

Thu
SD Padres -132

 

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GAMBLERS DATA
San Diego -140

 

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Arthur Ralph Sports

438 - 318 run 59 %
Bonus Play Thurs Over Cubs/Ariz